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Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.Oracle Bone Inscriptions executives said that the company still believes that the annual revenue will increase by double digits.AI application storm eye: change and shuffling coexist, and the CAMBRIAN was transferred to the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, which caused great concern in the market. Recently, most AI concept stocks sought after by funds in the secondary market are facing the challenge of uncertainty such as low revenue. Is this a bubble or a fetal movement on the eve of industrial change? The reporter interviewed a number of people in the industry. Respondents generally recognized the judgment of "AI is not a bubble". At the same time, they believed that the market, represented by large-scale model technology, was entering a rational period, and turned from the "Hundred Models War" to reflect on how to realize the expansion of technical boundaries and promote the commercialization of AIGC. In this process, represented by the agent, large-scale model, multi-scene and singing will support the unprecedented generate of AI application. However, it is undeniable that under the influx of various participants, the competition is becoming increasingly fierce, which also reflects the sharp increase in the commercialization pressure of some practitioners' AI applications. Looking ahead from the new starting line, the big model track is undergoing a transformation from "atomic bomb" to "tea egg", and the shuffling year may start, and some platforms may fade out of the stage. At the same time, upstream industrial chains such as AI chips will also face mountains with long cycle, high intensity and high cost for a long time. Whether it is technology update or cash flow operation, we must be cautious. (Securities Times)

Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting to discuss ending the war through diplomatic means. On December 9, local time, Ukrainian Presidential Press Secretary Nichiforov said that Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting in December to discuss the common position of ending the war through diplomatic means. Nichiforov said that the list of contact groups is still being worked out. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 8th that the members of the Contact Group may include Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Poland, Denmark and other countries.The suspect involved in the murder of new york, CEO of American insurance giant, was arrested in Pennsylvania. According to foreign media reports, a 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, and the new york police regarded him as the person involved in the shooting of Brian Thompson, a joint health insurance executive, in Manhattan. Thompson, 50, died after being shot in the back and legs outside the Hilton Hotel in downtown new york. Police said it was a targeted murder. The man named Luigi Mangione was recognized by employees while eating at a local McDonald's restaurant. The police said that he had a declaration, multiple false identities, an untraceable so-called "ghost gun" and a silencer with him. A person familiar with the matter said that the man carried with him a declaration against capitalism and criticizing medical enterprises for seeking profits.A 5.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in Nevada, USA. On December 9, local time, according to the preliminary data of the US Geological Survey (USGS), a 5.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in Nevada, USA, with the epicenter located 22 kilometers north-northeast of Yerington.

National Development and Reform Commission: Constantly improve investment policy tools and focus on expanding effective investment. It will close in 2024. How to further release the engine of domestic demand in 2025? Chengfeng Zhao, deputy director of the Investment Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that the National Development and Reform Commission will pay equal attention to quality and efficiency, constantly improve investment policy tools, focus on expanding effective investment, give full play to the key role of investment, and promote economic growth and structural optimization.In the shooting of the CEO of UNH insurance business, the hearing of the suspect Luigi Mangione (illegal gun possession) is scheduled for next Monday (December 16th).The phenomenal world tour of "Mould Mould" ended, earning over 2 billion dollars in two years. After nearly two years and about 150 performances, the phenomenal world tour of American singer "Mould Mould" Taylor Swift finally ended on December 8. This grand tour extended from the United States to South America, Asia and Europe, and became a global phenomenal event, which was a great commercial success: by the end of 2023, the Swift-era concert tour had become the first tour in the world with a total income of more than 1 billion US dollars. According to the statistics of Pollstar, the industry publication of the concert, the total tour revenue will exceed $2 billion after the series of tours are completed on December 8. (Global Times)